Philip Bowring

Seeds of progress

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August 2007

If Taiwan’s presidential election goes smoothly in 2008, a settlement with Beijing will become a remote possibility

Could 2008 be a breakthrough year in cross-strait relations? It is unwise to be too optimistic given the number of previous disappointments. Nonetheless there are intertwined reasons why we could be in for a pleasant surprise.

That may be a bold statement given that there remain some concerns that, with the presidential election in Taiwan coming shortly before the Beijing Olympics, President Chen Shui-bian could be tempted to take rash pro-independence actions, which would meet with ...

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